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Three dimensional soil textural structure in a township was conditionally simulated using a transition pro- bability-based indicator geostatistical method based on 270 soil texture samples from 27 profiles. Additionally the distribution of soil profiles lacking clay interlayers (indicating high irrigation water and nutrient leaching risk) was analyzed using 500 realizations from the simulation. The results indicated that the simulation could predict the soil texture distribution with low uncertainties using the existing data, and the predicted soil map (0-10 cm) formed by the maximum probable soil textures also exhibited a good agreement with the legacy soil survey map. For water and nutrient leaching risk analysis, the areas lacking clay interlayer could be located; however, their distribution was still highly uncertain if based only on the existing sampling data. That means supplementary sampling in future is required for the risk assessment, and the existing study can help to optimise the sampling points and their distribution. Generally, the transition probability-based geostatistical simulation, as a stochastic conditional simulation method, exhibited its potential in soil texture spatial reproduction and related risk assessment.
Background. The use of pesticide leads to the increase in quantity and quality of yields, but may also result in presence of toxic contaminants in food products. Objective. The aim of this study was to evaluate presence of pesticide residues in raw agricultural products from the south-eastern region of Poland, to verify their compliance with the maximum residue levels’ (MRLs) as specified in the EU regulations concerning products present in the market, and to assess the acute risk related to consumption of these products. Material and Methods. Samples of raw agricultural products were obtained from production farms as a part of an official premarket monitoring of pesticide residues conducted on behalf of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development, implemented in cooperation with the regional Inspectorates of Plant Health and Seed Inspection. The scheduled tests covered determination of 243 chemicals included in residue definitions for purposes of pesticide residues monitoring in or on food of plant origin (229 pesticides). Results. In 2015, a total of 328 samples of raw commodities collected from the south-eastern region of Poland were analysed for the presence of pesticide residues. Pesticide residues were detected in 84 samples (25.6%), while in 7 samples (2.1%) they exceeded MRLs. Violations of MRLs concerned 2 samples of Peking Cabbage, 3 samples of dill, 1 sample of raspberry and 1 sample of spinach. The pesticide residues were most often found in: fruit (38.3% of all fruit samples), herbs (35.3%) and vegetables (20.0%). The assessed acute exposure did not exceed the 100% acute reference dose (ARfD) in any sample. Conclusions. Monitoring of pesticide residues in the agricultural crops prevents penetration of products with MRLs exceeded or containing unacceptable pesticide residues into the market, thus protecting consumers’ health.
This article describes the changes in the land cover and management of floodplains in towns located on Poland’s Oder River, estimates flood risk and how it has been changing in these towns, and how these changes have affected the environment. The paper also includes an analysis of trends in floodplain management defined in local planning documents. The research was conducted for the period of 1995-2010 and included two towns: Kostrzyn on the Oder and Krosno Odrzańskie. The former lies in the lower course of the Oder and the latter in its middle section. The research indicates that flood risk has risen due to the continuous development of urbanized areas (both unbuilt and built-up) that used to be exploited as arable land. That had a negative effect on the environment, as well.
Background. Human exposure to trace levels of pesticide residues present in food of plant origin is inevitable as long as pesticides continue to be applied in agriculture. Since Maximum Residue Levels (MRL) are not toxicological endpoint values, their violation is not by default equivalent to health risk for consumers. However, its essential to provide a healthbased risk assessment for each case of MRL non-compliance reported during monitoring and official control of foodstuffs. Objective. To assess the potential short-term risk associated with consumption of food products of plant origin containing pesticide residues above MRL values based on notifications forwarded by the National Contact Point for RASFF in Poland during 2011-2015. Material and Methods. 115 notifications including 127 analytical results non-compliant with respective MRL values were forwarded to provide risk assessment. An internationally accepted deterministic approach based on conservative model assumptions for short-term exposure assessment was applied. The risk was characterized by comparing an estimated dietary intake with respective acute reference dose (ARfD). Results. Black currant, tea, lettuce, Chinese cabbage and carrot were among the most frequently notified products in years 2011-2015. Among pesticides exceeding respective MRL values, over 90% belonged to fungicides and insecticides/acaricides such as acetamiprid, chlorpyrifos, dimethoate, imidacloprid, dithiocarbamates and procymidone. For 15 and 6 results noncompliant with respective MRL value, a predicted short-term intake exceeded ARfD for children and adults, respectively. Conclusions. Residue levels that could potentially pose a health threat are found incidentally. The science-based and transparent risk assessment process with regard to the data, methods and assumptions that are applied is essential to risk management authorities.
It is said that the shadow banking system could be one of a variety of sources for the current global financial crisis. This sector also exists in China in a lesser advanced form than in Western economies in terms of instruments, risk measures or regulations. The official definition of China’s shadow banking has not been developed yet. The article presents the current stage of China’s shadow banking development, the size of this sector, recent studies focus on the role of informal financing in China’s economic growth and the risk derives from expanding shadow banking instruments. Due to the lack of risk measuring institutions and lack of data concerning Chinese shadow banking, Western concepts of systemic risk measurement cannot be applied in China. Consequently this paper adopts simple approach to systemic risk assessment.
W Polsce w ostatnich latach obserwuje się zmiany klimatyczne skutkujące szeregiem anomalii pogodowych, uwidaczniających się szczególnie w okresie letnim, w postaci licznych podtopień i powodzi. Dyrektywa Parlamentu Europejskiego z dnia 23 października 2007 r. w sprawie oceny ryzyka powodziowego i zarządzania nim [2007/60/ WE] ujednoliciła działania mające na celu zapobieganie i minimalizację skutków tych zjawisk. Najważniejszym z nich jest projekt „Informatyczny System Osłony Kraju przed nadzwyczajnymi zagrożeniami” (ISOK), realizowany pod patronatem GUGiK we współpracy z KZGW oraz IMiGW. Głównym celem projektu jest budowa elektronicznej platformy informatycznej jako podstawowego narzędzia zarządzania kryzysowego. Z punktu widzenia tematyki podjętej w niniejszej pracy, istotne jest wyszczególnienie elementów bazowych powstającej platformy. Należą do nich: inwentaryzacja i aktualizacja istniejących baz danych wraz z referencjami oraz opracowanie map ryzyka i zagrożeń. Wskazany projekt obejmuje zasięgiem opracowania tereny najbardziej zagrożone, znajdujące się z rejonie zlewni rzek głównych, z pomięciem mniejszych rzek i potoków. Głównym celem niniejszej publikacji jest zwrócenie uwagi na konieczność rozszerzenia baz danych ISOK o informacje z obszarów nieobjętych projektem, a systematycznie zalewanych na skutek lokalnych podtopień. Problem ten rozważono w aspekcie prawnym, technicznym i ekonomicznym.
Background. Concurrent use of dietary supplements and drugs may result in complications of pharmacotherapy due to possible interactions between their ingredients. Objectives. The aim of the survey was to estimate the intake of dietary supplements in a group of women over 50 and to analyse the risk of interactions between the ingredients of dietary supplements and drugs taken by the women. Material and Methods. The study was carried out among 146 women over 50 years of age. Questionnaire included detailed questions on the type of prescription drugs, OTC (over-the-counter) drugs, and dietary supplements taken. The risk of interactions was determined on the basis of chemical composition of the drugs and supplements specified by the manufacturer, by comparing the obtained data with literature reports on known interactions. Results. The analysis has shown that 88.4% of respondents constantly took prescription drugs, 44.5% of them took OTC drugs, and 66.4% of respondents took dietary supplements throughout the survey period. It has been found that 71.3% of surveyed women taking prescription drugs, took dietary supplements as well. Among women taking supplements and drugs, 36.9% of respondents were taking them concurrently, 60.9% kept such an interval, but only 21.8% of them waited for at least two hours. It has been found that the drug-supplement interactions might occur in 35.8% women under the survey. Conclusions. The analysis of the obtained results has revealed that taking dietary supplements by the group under survey was frequent, and the risk of interactions between dietary supplements and drugs was significant. It is recommended that doctors ask their patients about taken supplements during regular check-ups, and inform them about possible interactions between dietary supplements and drugs. Moreover, appropriate would be to change the labelling of dietary supplements, so that the packaging provides information on possible interactions between their ingredients and drugs.
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