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The paper is composed of seven parts: - Introduction, - The method of "true cycles" for identification of the dense spectra of oscillations, - Chronological sequences characterizing the solar system, - Gravitational influence of planets on solar activity and volcanic eruptions, - Astronomical causes of global warming of climate in 17th-20th centuries, - The holocene cycles of climate in Poland according to the accumulation of organic substances in lake sediments. The purpose of the study was to justify the proposition of the natural - astronomical - conditioning of climate fluctuations on the earth (both the modern ones and those which occurred in the holocene). Enormous cognitive significance is linked with the similarity of the dense spectra of oscillations (the true cycles) of the following groups of variables: climatological (atmospheric circulation, air temperature, precipitation), hydrological (river discharges, the level of Baltic Sea), geological (volcanic eruptions) and astronomical (solar activity, parameters of the solar system). The dense spectra of oscillations of these variables are dominated by the cycles close to the periods of revolution of the four greatest planets (the giants) around the sun: Jupiter (11.86 years), Saturn (29.46 years), Uranus (84.02 years), Neptune (164.70 years), and to the periods of their mutual positions. This implies the proposition of the astronomical causes for the fluctuations of the earth's climate. The identification principle "the dense spectra of oscillations (the true cycles) of the causes and effects are the same" is namely approximately satisfied. The links connecting the variability of the parameters of the solar system ( e.g. acceleration of the sun with respect to the mass center of the solar system, planetary tidal forces on the sun, planetary tidal forces on the earth) are: solar activity and volcanic eruptions, atmospheric circulation and solar radiation. The dense spectra of oscillations were determined with the method of J.Boryczka of "the true cycles". This method consists in identification of the consecutive regression sinusoids with respect to time (the notion of the "regression sinusoid" was introduced by the author of the method), the sinusoids considered having periods regularly spaced, by, say 1/12 = 0.0833 of a year in the range between 0.25 and 300 years. It is shown that climate warming in Europe in 17th-20th centuries - the increasingly warm winters (e.g. in Warsaw- by 1.03°C per century, or in Geneva - by 0.51°C per century)- is the result of superposition of the natural cycles with periods ranging from just a couple to more than 200 years. Along with this, the climate of Poland from 10 thousand years ago was determined (together with B. Wicik) on the basis of accumulation of organic matter in lake sediments (Lakes Wikaryjskie, Gościąż and Święte). The calendar was established according to the datings done with the method of radioactive carbon C¹⁴. An important discovery made by the authors mentioned (Boryczka, Wicik, 1994) is the synchronicity of the cycles of the organic matter accumulated in the sediments of these lakes with the cycles of the parameters of the solar system reaching 7350 years. This constitutes the explanation for the causes of the holocene fluctuations of the earth's climate. They are namely simply the superposition of the natural cycles ranging from several hundred to dozens of thousands of years, conditioned by the parameters of the solar system.
Current problems and results of recent climatic fluctuations research have been related to the condition in ycars 1890-1946, introduced in Gumiński 's publication - 35-letnie „okresy” wahań klimatycznych Brücknera w świetle klimatologii dzisiejszej, (1946). Bruckner's idea (1890) ofonce 35 year climatic fluctuations period (warm dry and cool humid phases occurring simultaneously on all continents), refuted by Gumiński - can not by accepted in the light of recent research. However, the 35 year precipitation period occurrcnce is stili an open question. Chronological precipitation sequenccs in Cracow (1850-1990) and in Colombo (1869-1980) show periodity 29.6 years and 37.9 years with amplitudes of 109.4 mm and 612 mm greater than in year cycle (63.3 mm and 59.5 mm). They are statistically important on the level of 0.05 according to Fisher-Snedecor's tests, and they also satisfy Schuster's rhythm reality criterion (presented by Gumiński). 29.6 year precipitation cycle in Cracow is synchronous to 30.5 year western circulation cycle in Europe (according to Wagenheim's classification 1891-1976). Moreover, it has been shown (on the example of RANNOR generator), that random numbers, with normal 0.1 distribution, can not be used for climatal reality cycles assessment. Simply, these are subjective judgements, depending on the type of random number generator - they depend on the generator's function. Random numbers with numbers N, can not be treated as a random trial. Made of random numbers chronological sequences (per analogy with measured magnitudes) with numbers N < 600, show a linear trend and „periodicity” resulting from trigonometrical functions (for example in the case of RANNOR generator).
The report distinguishes the following areas of study ( sections ): 1. The beginnings of the study of the periodical climate changes, 2. The J. Boryczka mdhod of "regression sinusoids" of identifications of periods 3. identification of the causes of climate changes, 4. Warm winters in Europe, raising level of the Baltic Sea, 5. The influence of the Atlantic Ocean on the climate of Europe (and Poland) in the years 1825-1997 -the progressing warming in winter, the weakening cooling in summer, 6. Forecasts of the North Atlantic Oscillations (NAO) and winters in Warsaw in the 21 st century according to the cycles identified, 7. The dominating role of the volcanic dust in the shaping of the Earth's climate in the 17th-21 st century, 8. Forecasts of the climate of Europe in the 21st century according to the changes in the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the concentration of the volcanic dust (DV[), and solar activity (W). The study of the periodical changes of climate was initiated by E. Brückner in his publication from 1890, devoted to the 35-year cycle of climate fluctuations, with two phases: the warm-and-dry one and the cool-and-humid one, the calculated period being equal 34.8 ± 0.7 years. An important role in the evaluation of the degree of reality of the identified climatic cycles was played by the criterion of A. Schuster (1906): a > 3E. A significant assessment of the reality of the propositions forwarded by Brückner is constituted by the publication of R. Gumiński (1946) "The 35-year "periods" of climatic fluctuations of Brückner' s in the light of the contemporary climatology" (in Polish), which negates the existence of the 35-year cycle. According to the results of empirical studies the longer and shorter climate cycles have existed in the second half of the 20th century, and in some chronological series the 30-40-year cycle is also present. Side by side with the harmonic analysis, the autocorrelation method and the Fourier transform method, a new method was introduced into the study of periodicity - the method of "regression sinusoids" of J. Boryczka, serving to identify the periods. The method of "regression sinusoids" consists in fitting - in the sense of least squares - the consecutive sinusoids of the periods making a series like 0.1, 0.2, ... , n, to the measurements. The periods identified correspond to the local minima of the rest variance. The method of "regression sinusoids" may also be applied in the case of the unevenly appearing volcanic eruptions, in sedimentology (the time intervals between measurements do not have to be the same - as in the previous methods). The fundamental significance should be attached in the identification of the natural changes of the Earth's climate to the principle: "The periodicity of the of the causes and effects should be similar." That is why it is essential to demonstrate the analogous periodicity of the cycles of the hypothetical causes - the astronomical and geological variables, and the effects - the climatological and the hydrological variables. Of key significance in the identification of the causes of climate fluctuations is the planetary 178.9-year cycle of the changes in the parameters of the solar system, solar activity, and the solar constant. This cycle is also present in some of the longest series of air temperature measurements (e.g. Middle England - summer). This periodicity is identified in the case of the sedimentological variables. Similarity of the spectra of oscillations of the astronomical and climatological variables was demonstrated. Progressing warming of winters and weakening cooling of summers is being observed in Europe and in Poland. It is conditioned by the progressing changes in the thermal influence of the Atlantic ocean waters (warming in winter and cooling in summer). The trends in the NAO indicator are increasing in winter and decreasing in summer. In other words, the zonal circulation in Europe intensifies in winter and weakens in summer. The dominating role of volcanic dust in the shaping of the climate of Poland in the 17th-20th centuries is demonstrated. The curves of changes of: air temperature in Warsaw (T) and the variable corresponding to the purification of the atmosphere of the volcanic dust (-logDVI) in the years 1500-2100 are very close to congruence (DVI - dust veil index, H. Lamb, 1974). A novelty is constituted by the forecasts of air temperature in Warsaw for the years 2001-2100 according to the changes in the NAO index, concentration of the volcanic dust (DVI), and solar activity (Wolf numbers – W). Another novelty consists in the analogous forecasts of the Baltic Sea levels in the 21st century (in Świnoujście). The similarity of these two types of forecasts, namely according to the interference of the identified temperature cycles, T = T(t) and the Baltic Sea level, h = h(t), and according to the changes NAO, DVI, W: T = T(NAO, DVI, W), h= h(NAO, DVI, W) is highly interesting.
The 50-th anniversary of climatology in Warsaw is at the same time an anniversary of Polish climatology. The establishment of the first Chair of Climatology at the University of Warsaw in 1951 was at the same time the starting point for the existence of a definite organisational structure, serving the independent development of climatology as the academic discipline. The establishment of the Chair of Climatology was at that time an important event not just in Poland, but even in Europe as a whole- as seen against the background of the existing European universities. The emergence of the Chair is due first of all to the activity of Romuald Gumiński. He recognised the need of separation of the study of climates and the teaching of new specialists in this domain. Gumiński undertook an own initiative of establishing a chair of climatology at the university. This initiative was supported by a group of professors in geography from Warsaw. The then Polish authorities expressed consent to this proposal. Romuald Gumiński made the way for the development of the modern climatology in Poland. This was facilitated by the functions he held, consecutively, of the deputy director and director of the State Meteorological Institute. Thus, owing to him, Poland got relatively early included in the mainstream of the modern climatological thought. Romuald Gumiński can be considered the founder of the Polish climatology. His ambition was to establish a truly modern research basis, and so also to secure an appropriate education in the field of climatology at the University of Warsaw. Alas, this well promising start of the development of climatology in Warsaw was dramatically interrupted atfter just a couple of months by the death of Romuald Gumiński on 26 October 1952. The contribution that Professor Romuald Gumiński made into Polish climatology was appraised very highly by his successors. This is well reflected through the continuation of the research he initiated on the climate of Poland, as well as through the appropriate profile of teaching of students in climatology. The most important scientific achievements of Romuald Gumiński include: the discrimination of the agricultural-climatic parts of Poland, the evaluation of reality of the climatic cycles, and the study of conditioning of the extreme climatic phenomena in Poland. The results of the studies of R. Gumiński with regard to the use of knowledge concerning climate in farming and spatial planning preserved their validity in an astonishing manner. In February 1953 Wincenty Okołowicz was entrusted with the duty of the head of the Chair of Climatology. Until that time he had been the employee of Nicolas Copernicus University in Toruń. He continued as the director of the State Hydrological and Meteorological Institute (1953-1959) and represented Poland in the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO). Professor Wincenty Okołowicz has also importantly contributed to the teaching and training of young geographers and climatologists. Initially, he conducted courses at the University of Toruń, the Higher Pedagogical School in Gdańsk, Higher Agricultural School in Olsztyn, and later on at the University of Warsaw, and periodically in the Military Technical Academy. For two terms he was the Dean of the Faculty of Biology and the Sciences of the Earth (1960-62 and 1964-66). During the 23 years that Professor Wincenty Okołowicz was the head of the Department of Climatology at the Institute of Geography of the University of Warsaw as many as 15 doctorates and 125 master theses were defended under his supervision. He was active in the work of the Geographers' Expert Team with the Main Council of University, participating, in particular, in correcting the teaching curricula. The most important works of Professor Wincenty Okołowicz include: Zachmurzenie Polski (The cloudiness of Poland) (1964), The Climatic Divisions of the World (1962) and of Poland (1966), both in Polish, Klimatologia ogólna (General climatology; in Polish) (1969) - the handbook distinguished by the Minister's Prize of Ilnd degree, the climatic maps for the National Atlas of Poland, concerning air temperature, cloudiness, and snow cover - published in the years 1973-1978. These publications are still being frequently quoted in both Polish and foreign literature, and two of them were translated to English language at the commissions from abroad. It was upon the initiative of Professor Okołowicz that the publication series was established entitled Prace i Studia Instytutu Geograficznego Uniwersytetu Warszawskiego (Reports and Studies of the Institute of Geography of the University of Warsaw), nowadays appearing as Prace i Studia Geograficzne (Geographical Reports and Studies), which opened up for the younger research and teaching staff the possibility of making their work known. An important event in the domain of climatology, both for Warsaw and for entire Poland, was constituted by the appearance of the doctoral seminar, established by Professor Okołowicz, in 1966, within the Department of Climatology of the University of Warsaw. This seminar taught the skilled personnel for the developing climatology in Poland. This manner of educating Ph.D. 's is being continued currently at the Faculty of Geography and Regional Studies of the University of Warsaw. An essential role in the teaching of the students of geography is played by the Climatological Station "University of Warsaw" (with measurements having started in 1956) and the field weather station in Murzynowo by Płock (first measurements in 1969), currently functioning as the "Masovian Geographical Observatory", headed by Dr. W. Lenart and Dr. D. Dobak, both stations having been established upon the initiative of Professor Wincenty Okołowicz. Professor Okołowicz was very much in favour of educating the climatologists through their participation in research, either referring to the new currents in climatology, coming from the outside, or to own experience from the field studies. He introduced new directions of experimental research, like, in particular, the influence of water bodies and swamps on local climate, and the influence of the town on climate, with special emphasis on atmospheric pollution. A great contribution to the education of young geographers, and especially of the climatologists, was also made by Zofia Kaczorowska. During 20 years she gave the course lectures on meteorology and climatology for the IInd year of studies. She also lectured on the climate of Poland at the specialisation of physical geography and at the Quaternary specialisation for the students of geology. She was responsible for the master seminars and the preparatory course to them, as well as for the master's workshop. Likewise, she was active in field exercises, as well as in the entry examinations to the Faculty. She would always be very warm and cordial in her attitude towards the students, especially those in need of help. Ad. Professor Zofia Kaczorowska, D.Sc., belongs to the group of scholars, who contributed in an essential manner to the development of Polish climatolology. Her research activity started in 1933 with the Ph.D. Dissertation concerning the causes of the flood discharges of Vistula. She provided an original explanation for the stormy rains, linked with the movement of the low pressure areas from the South. Special attention should be paid to the D.Sc. dissertation of Zofia Kaczorowska, entitled Precipitation in Poland in a long-term perspective (in Polish), published in 1962. This book is a milestone in Polish climatology. The Author looked for the connection between the periodicity of precipitation and, in particular, the cycles of the sunspots, on the basis of numerous long measurement series, and indicated the existence of the 70-year cycle. She proposed a classification of the annual precipitation totals for Poland, with distinction of the normal, wet, and very wet, as well as dry and very dry years. The probabilities determined for these classes of annual precipitation totals do still preserve their validity as a valuable practical information. In her capacity of an Ad. Professor in the Oepartment of Climatology of the Institute of Geography, University of Warsaw, Zofia Kaczorowska, D.Sc., tutored herself a dozen or so M.Sc. works. In the years 1968-1975 she supervised four doctoral dissertations. The handbook she wrote, entitled Weather and climate (in Polish), published by Wydawnictwa Szkolne i Pedagogiczne in the years 1977 and 1985/6, has a definitely high didactic value. This handbook is still being used by teachers, as well as students and graduates of the faculties of geography. The main research problems, taken up by R. Gumiński, continued - and still continue - to be considered within the Department of Climatology of the University of Warsaw. One of the primary research themes, which have been dealt with under the leadership of Professor Wincenty Okołowicz, with a significant assistance from Ad. Professor Zofia Kaczorowska, is the theme of Structure and Regionalisalion of the Climate of Poland. The problem, which is nowadays the main object of study, is constituted by the Natural and Anthropogenic Changes in the Climate of Poland. The work is carried out by the team of the employees of the Department of Climatology, which is headed since 1975 by Professor Maria Stopa-Boryczka. A significant progress was made in the study of the climate of Poland by the development of the statistical models (multiple regression polynomials), determining the primary features of the fields of air temperature, precipitation, etc., in Poland. The modelling of the fields of meteorological variables made it possible to separate the influences of the latitude, of the distance from the Atlantic Ocean, and the attitude above the sea level in the shaping of the climate of Poland. The impacts of these most important geographical factors are measured with the gradient of the field, expressed through its components: meridional, parallel, and related to altitude. They were determined for the entire area of Poland, for the north-eastern part of the country, for the belts of plains and mountains, as well as for the individual localities. Thus, for instance, the zones of dominating influence of the Atlantic Ocean and the Baltic Sea on the climate of Poland, with separation of the impact of the surface forms and relief, have been determined on the basis of the maps of horizontal gradients (in the form of vectors). The deformation of the field of air temperature is measured by the deflection of the horizontal gradients (vectors) from the local meridians (according to the principles of the zonal climate setting). It should also be emphasised that the best interpolation method is the determination of the empirical functions approximating the field of the meteorological variables. The main characteristics of the air temperature field in Europe and in other climatic zones have also been determined in this manner. A significant progress in the study of the changes of the Earth's climate has been made by the identification of the causes of natural coolings and warmings in the 18th-20th centuries in accordance with the principle that the periodicity of the causes and effects ought to be similar. Hence, it is important to note that the analogous periodicity has been demonstrated of the hypothesised causes, that is - the astronomical variables (solar activity, solar constant, parameters of the solar system), the geological variables (volcanic eruptions), and the effects, that is - the climatological variables (atmospheric zonal circulation - NAO, air temperature, precipitation) and the hydrological ones (river runoff, level of the Baltic Sea). The similarity of the periodicity of the effects and the hypothetical causes enabled elaboration of the forecasts for the changes in the climate of Europe (including Poland) in the 21 st century, according to the interference of climatic cycles. A novelty is constituted by the new type of forecasts for the 21st century, based upon the changes of value of the North Atlantic Oscillation indicator (NAO), the concentration of the volcanic dust in the atmosphere (DVI), and the solar activity. In this context another novelty is constituted by the demonstration of the dominating role of the volcanic eruptions in the shaping of the climate of Poland during the last two centuries. The study of the urban climate aims, in particular, at the separation of the influence of anthropogenic factors from the natural changes of climate. The deformation was determined of the fields of meteorological variables, taking place under the influence of urban structures for the entire town and the individual housing estates on the example of Warsaw. Calculation of the correlation between the difference of air temperature in town and in its surroundings and the temperature of the surrounding area allowed for estimation of the rates of warming and cooling of the areas covered with urban structures, as well as of the timing of appearance and disappearance of the urban heat island. In this manner the surplus of cloudiness and precipitation, as well as the shortage of air humidity and the decrease of wind velocity were estimated with respect to the surroundings of Warsaw. The deformation of the field of air temperature by a town depends not only upon the parameters characterising the town, that is, the area and volume of structures and the albedo of the artificial surfaces. It also depends upon the state of the atmosphere, and first of all - upon the directions of advection of the air masses with respect to the distribution of the artificial surfaces and the location of areas covered by urban structures. In the cognition of the features of urban climate an essential role is played by the determination of the threshold values of air temperature, wind velocity, and cloudiness, beyond which the deformation of the air temperature field is the greatest. An attempt was also undertaken, on the example of Warsaw, of separating the anthropogenic changes in air temperature, having a constant tendency, from its natural periodical fluctuations. The differences between the air temperature values measured and determined from the models of the temperature field in Poland indicate that the main impact on the urban climate comes from the physical-geographic factors, with the anthropogenic ones playing a secondary role. The identified regularities of the influence of the geographic and anthropogenic factors on climate and the attempt of separating them are both very important for the modelling and forecasting of the spatial and temporal changes of climate. A new problem in the study of climate is constituted by the determination of the aerosanitary state of Polish towns, with special emphasis on consideration of the presence of sulphur dioxide in the atmosphere. This involves the determination of the influence exerted by the advection of the air masses on the spatial distribution of the SO₂ in Poland, with due account of the cyclonal and anticyclonal settings. Synoptic situations were indicated conducive to the increased concentrations of sulphur dioxide in the air, especially within the areas characterised by a high environmental hazard due to the sulphur compounds. These are the current problems associated with the protection of the atmosphere against too high concentrations of toxic substances. Further, an interesting result consisted in the indication of the biometeorological conditions bringing high risk for the inhabitants of Warsaw, with consideration of fatal illnesses, as well as the synoptic situations (low pressures, high pressures, atmospheric fronts), conducive to the increased mortality in Warsaw. Likewise, an important work was carried out on the assessment of the bio-climate of the Polish spas with the cardiovascular profile. This assessment can be made use of by the physicians, directing their patients for a cure depending upon the season of the year. Of special significance is the information on the probability of appearance of the disadvantageous, or even dangerous weather situations, which would require a rapid adaptation of the human organism. The research results of the Department of Climatology include a number of reports, in which the climate of Poland is analysed from the point of view of the important spheres of practical human activity. Thus, in the study of the urban climate, wind, for instance, is not just an element, which changes its characteristics under the influence of urban structures, but also has a cooling function (increasing the cooling of the human organism and the heat losses of the buildings), as well as the one of ventilation of the polluted urban area. The key problems of climatology are being approached in a direct manner in the framework of the D.Sc. And Ph.D. dissertations, and indirectly- through the master's theses. The D.Sc. dissertation of Zofia Kaczorowska, entitled Precipitation in Poland in a long-term perspective, published in 1962 (in Polish), had a pioneering character. It concerned the dependence of the precipitation upon the number of sunspots, and the tendencies in the precipitation in Poland. A significant progress in the study of periodicity of climate changes and its causes was made with the D.Sc. dissertation of Jerzy Boryczka, entitled The deterministic-stochastic model of the multi-period climate changes (1984, in Polish). The author introduced into the literature the models simulating the natural (periodical) and the anthropogenic changes of climate, along with the forecasts reaching into the 21 st century. Likewise, the results of the inquiry into synchronicity of the climatic fluctuations in Poland, contained in the Ph.D. dissertation of Elwira Żmudzka, entitled Cyclic air temperature changes in Poland (in Polish), defended in 1990, are also of high significance. Thus, for instance, the eight-year cycle of the air temperature is a characteristic of the temperature field in Poland, similarly as it is the case of the 11-year cycle of seasonal precipitation sums in Poland, whose synchronicity was demonstrated in the Ph.D. dissertation of Anna Michalska (1996). The domain of interest of Maria Stopa-Boryczka is constituted by the correlation dependencies between the air temperature and the other meteorological elements, as well as geographical factors. The first results of research concerning this subject are provided in her D.Sc. dissertation entitled Thermal features of the climate of Poland (in Polish), published in 1973. The doctoral dissertation of Krzysztof Olszewski, entitled Transformation of water vapour in lower troposphere over the selected areas of Poland (1973, in Polish), was devoted to the absolute humidity of the air, its daily and annual changes, and the correlation interdependencies with the air masses. The very first monograph of the climate of Warsaw was written by Urszula Kossowska-Cezak as her Ph.D. dissertation, entitled Singularities of the metropolitan climate on the example of Warsaw (in Polish), defended in 1971. Then, an important step forward in the study of climate of Warsaw, in the domain of daily changes and meteorological conditions conducive to the appearance of the urban heat island was made with the doctoral dissertation of Jolanta Wawer, entitled Thermal features of the local climate of Warsaw (1993). Maria Kopacz-Lembowicz devoted her doctoral dissertation on Bio-climate of the spas with cardiovascular profile (1975, in Polish) to the evaluation of climate with respect to human needs, and in particular - to human health. The doctoral dissertation of Bożena Kicińska, entitled The influence of atmospheric circulation on the concentration of sulphur dioxide in the air in Poland (in Polish) concerned the aerosanitary state of the towns of Poland, and the weather conditions, conducive to the high concentrations of the SO₂ in the atmosphere, especially on the areas with high environmental hazard arising from sulphur compounds. Then, Magdalena Kuchcik determined in her doctoral dissertation (2000) the biometeorological conditions, which bring about high health risk for the inhabitants of Warsaw, including the cardiovascular diseases of fatal outcome. A different direction of study, being developed at the Department, started yet by Professor W. Okołowicz, namely the regional climatology of the world, is well represented by the doctoral dissertation of Danuta Martyn, entitled The climate of the Middle East (1973, in Polish). The climate of Poland was the subject of altogether approximately 335 elaborates, including three D.Sc. dissertations, and eleven doctoral dissertations. A part of the results were published in the form of monographs, dissertations (9), atlases (14), and articles (172) in various journals. A part have also been published in Prace i Studia IGUW, Klimatologia, issues 11 (1964-1978) and in volumes 11, 20, 22, and 28 of the Prace i Studia Geograficzne (1992, 1997, 1998, 2001). Some of them were translated into English language, like those appearing in the nine volumes of Miscellanea Geographica (1984-2000), of which four translated and published at the commissions from abroad. The most important achievements of the Departrnent were presented in 15 issues of Prace i Studia Geograficzne in the climatological series (1964-2001), in the 14 volumes of the Atlas of co-dependencies of the meteorological and geographical parameters in Poland (1974-2000). The best illustration for the scientific activity in the domain of climate is provided by the list of reports, either by individual scientists, or by research teams, published as scientific work or at the commissions from various institutions (506 scientific reports, 59 popular publications, 47 internal reports, 129 reviews, 6 translations, 13 introductions, and 20 biographical notes, altogether 780 items). The archives of the Department contain also mare than 2,200 original maps, elaborated and published by the employees and students of the Department, showing the spatial distribution of various elements of climate, and climatic syntheses, as well as the topo-climatic maps. Some of them might constitute separate bibliographical positions. Then, the educational and skill improvement effort in the field of climatology is best reflected through the numbers of D.Sc. dissertations (6), Ph.D. dissertations (32), and the master theses (368) from the period between 1952 and 2001. Our graduates occupy, or occupied, high posts at other universities and various scientific institutions in Poland. The climatoiogists from the University of Warsaw have always been, and still are, ready to undertake the research corresponding to the current and future needs in, for instance, protection of the atmosphere, and are well aware of the ecological hazards on both local and global scale. Thus, it appears obvious to us that it is necessary to solve the new problems in the domain of the local, regional, and global forecasts, with due account of the natural, as well as anthropogenic conditioning. At the same time, the traditional research themes, which preserve their validity, should also be followed, with the use of the new, perfected research methodologies. The golden jubilee of the Department of Climatology of the University of Warsaw provides an exquisite opportunity for a deeper consideration of the development to date of climatology in Poland as a geographic science. Hence, a discussion on the directions of further development of the discipline in the just started 21st century is essential. That is also why the scientific session, having taken place on October 25-27, 2001, in Warsaw, bore the title "The advances in the research on climatic change and its importance for human life and economic activity".
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Wpływ czynników geograficznych na klimat Europy

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The main purpose of the study was to define the most important features of the climate of Europe, which derive from geographical position and altitude above sea level. To begin with, we discuss the thermal features of Europe's climate which result from the continent's location at moderate latitudes. The research was conducted on the basis of average monthly values of air temperature in 30-year periods, 1961-1990. The fields of real sunshine, air temperature, atmospheric precipitation, atmospheric pressure and wind velocity were described using empirical models - regression polynomials of the second degrees y = f (φ), y= f (λ), y = f (H) for three coordinates: latitude φ, longitude λ and altitude above sea level H. They simulate both the zonal variability of air temperature T(φ) and precipitations P(φ) (which depends on the incoming solar radiation) and the impact of the Atlantic Ocean and the altitude T(λ), P(λ). The equation of the regression hyperplane has been a good tool for the inverstigation of general features of Europe's climate: y = a₀ +a₁ φ+a₂ λ + a₃ H. Coefficients of partia! a₁, a₂, a₃ - are components of gradients of meteorological variables; a₁ - meridional gradient, in °C/1° φ; a₂ - latitudinal gradient, in °C/1 °λ; a₃ - hypsometric gradient, in °C/100 m.
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Wincenty Okołowicz

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Wincenty Okołowicz was born on 26 July 1906. He made a truly remarkable scientific and teaching career, including the leadership of the Department of Climatology at the University of Warsaw. Professor Wincenty Okołowicz: published altogether 118 papers, among which, as perhaps the most important let us mention the ones devoted to (positions 1 through 9 – in Polish, 10 - in English): 1. Soil temperatures in Vilna (1937) 2. Climatic changes in Europe ( 1939) 3. The geomorphology of the middle reach of the river Wilia (1956) 4. Climatic zones of the world ( 1962) 5. Cloudiness above Poland (1964) 6. Climatic subdivision of Poland ( 1966) 7. Amplitudes of air temperature in Poland (1967) 8. General climatology ( 1969) granted second-degree award from the Ministry 9. Climatic maps for the National Atlas of Poland, regarding air temperature (39 maps), cloudiness (6 maps), snow cover (4 maps), all of which were published between 1973 and 1976, 10. Climate of Poland, Czechoslovakia and Hungary (1976). All of the above publications belong to the most frequently cited ones in both Polish and foreign literature of the subject, and two of them (nos. 5 and 8) were translated into English upon the request from foreign customers. Professor W. Okołowicz rendered during his lifetime valuable services in both teaching and coaching the young generations of geographers and climatologists. He was active first at the University of Nicolaus Copernicus (Toruń), and then at the University of Warsaw. For 23 years he was the head of the Department of Climatology of the University of Warsaw. During this period he conferred Ph.D. degrees in Climatology upon 15 candidates, and M. Sc. degrees upon 125 students. He was twice appointed the Dean of the Faculty of Biology and the Sciences of the Earth, in the years 1960- 62 and 1964-66. In acknowledgement of his merits as a teacher and educator, and of his ability in organising sound teaching, as well as in promoting the staff of young scientists, he was granted in 1964 an ad-personam second-degree award of the Ministry of Sciences. Furthennore, in recognition of his contribution to the development of Polish Climatology, and of his general merits in the field of didactics, education, and social sciences, Professor Okołowicz was awarded in 1954 the Officer' s Cross of Merit, and, in 1966, the Commander's Cross of Polonia Restituta. In 1967 he was promoted to full professorship. In April 1974 W. Okołowicz fell ill, and the illness, unexpectedly, cut him completely off the professional life until his passing away on 3 September 1979. We parted with him, a frank, kind, and respected person, an engaged teacher and distinct scholar, with a truly deep regret.
The author, having analysed a dozen or so formulae characterising the continentalism of climate, states that none of them gives satisfactory results. The author introduced into the climatological literature a new formula defining the continental features of climate at various latitudes of the globe and on the smaller areas (Europe, Poland), this formula making use of the meridianal profile of the average air temperature and of the percentage share of continental areas within the ten-degree latitude zone around the parallel considered. The highest scientific value ought to be assigned to the publications concerning the precipitation field in the north-western part of Poland, its conditioning, and temporal changes. These studies were brought to a synthesis in the D.Sc. dissertation, a publication of the methodological-cognitive character, distinct among the existing climatological literature both by its very statistical modelling of the precipitation field and by a deep insight into the explanation of the zones of precipitation in Europe and in Poland. This resulted first of all from the good knowledge of the atmospheric processes, shaped by the Atlantic Ocean and the Baltic Sea, as well as the surface relief. An original explanation is provided of the specific role played by the coastal line of the Baltic Sea in the shaping of the precipitation field. The cycional spin of the western wind (gradient-wise), caused by the fact that the forces of friction existing between the air stream and the bedding differ for the sea and the land, brings about the so-called coastal convergence, due to which abundant precipitation occurs in the coastal zone of the Baltic Sea. One should also indicate that A. Ewert developed a new concept of the objective climatic division of the area of Poland.
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Zofia Kaczorowska

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Zofia Kaczorowska was born on 11 September 1902 in Warsaw. She finished secondary school in 1921. Then, in 1924 she started studying at the Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences of the University of Warsaw. At the same time she worked at the State Meteorological Institute. In 1928 she was granted a scholarship from the Institute, with the obligation of specialising in the domain of meteorology. In 1932 Zofia Kaczorowska obtained the title of doctor of philosophy on the basis of the publication entitled Meteorological causes of the summer swells of Vistula river (in Polish) and took up the work in the Climatological Department of the State Meteorological Institute, where she stayed until the outbreak of the World War II. During the academic year 1938/1939 she was also a research assistant in the Department of Meteorology and Climatology of the Warsaw University of the Life Sciences. Assistant professor Zofia Kaczorowska produced a significant scientific output, despite the objective difficulties in the maintenance of continuity of the research work caused by her long illness, the period of war, and the very intensive teaching work. She made a very valuable contribution to the education and schooling of the young geographers, and especially of the climatologists, for whom she conducted during twenty years the courses in: meteorology for the students of the Ist year of geography, and climatology for the IInd year, in the climate of Poland for the students of the IVth year, specialising in physical geography, as well as in elements of meteorology and climatology for the students of geology specialising in the Quaternary. She was in charge of the Master's seminars and workshops for the students of the climatological specialisation. She was also very active in field exercises and entry examinations. The attitude of Zofia Kaczorowska with respect to students was always very cordial, and she would especially take care of those who were in need. The ancient and the current employees of the Department of Climatology of the Faculty of Geography and Regional Studies, University of Warsaw, her pupils and associates, paid homage to Zofia Kaczorowska during her funeral in February 1993 (she passed away on 11 Febuary 1993 in Warsaw).
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