Occurrence probability of maximum sea levels in Polish ports of Baltic Sea coast

• Autorzy: Wisniewski B. , Wolski T.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

In this work long-term probability of occurrence of maximum sea levels in some points of Polish Baltic Sea coast, was determined. Use was made of multi-year series of measurement data on maximum yearly sea levels, and their probability distributions were determined. To the analysis Gumbel’s distribution and Pearson distribution of 3rd type as well as quantile methods and the highest credibility method, were applied. Kolmogorov test was used to examine conformity of the theoretical distributions with real random variable distribution. As results from the analysis, the highest sea levels of 1000- year return period can be expected in Polish ports of the west part of the coast , i.e. Kolobrzeg (750, 2 cm , i.e. 2,5 m above the average sea level) and Swinoujscie (723,6 cm) . Lower sea levels of the same return period can be expected in Ustka (720,2 cm), Wladyslawowo (709,7 cm) and Gdansk (716, 7 cm), respectively

• Wydawca: -
• Czasopismo: Polish Maritime Research
• Rocznik: 2009
• Tom: 16
• Numer: 3
• Opis fizyczny: p.62-69,fig.,ref.

Twórcy

autor

Wisniewski B.

• University of Szczecin, Waska 13, 71-415 Szczecin, Poland

autor

Wolski T.

• University of Szczecin, Waska 13, 71-415 Szczecin, Poland

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Identyfikatory

DOI

10.2478/v10012-008-0035-3