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2012 | 19 |

Tytuł artykułu

Streamflow changes in mesoscale lowland catchment under future climate conditions

Treść / Zawartość

Warianty tytułu

Języki publikacji

EN

Abstrakty

EN
The objective of this study was to investigate the performance of streamflow in a lowland mesoscale catchment in Poland under current and future climate conditions. Simulations of hypothetical streamflow in the future climate were facilitated by meteorological data sets from ensemble simulations from all over Europe with the Regional Climate Model CLM. Projections of precipitation and air temperature for the 21st century under the SRES A1B scenario were used as an input to the hydrological model simulating streamflow at the daily time scale. The combination of relatively moderate increase of annual precipitation sum and mean air temperature might cause lower annual discharges. The possible decrease in stream water resources might be a signal of reduced subsurface recharge and land over drying processes.

Wydawca

-

Rocznik

Numer

19

Opis fizyczny

p.53-65,fig.,ref.

Twórcy

  • Department of Hydrology, Faculty of Geography and Regional Studies, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland
autor
  • Department of Hydrology, Faculty of Geography and Regional Studies, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland

Bibliografia

  • Black A.R., Rowan J.S., Duck R.W., Bragg O.M., Clelland B.E., 2005, DHRAM: A method for classifying river flow regime alterations for the EC water framework directive, Aquatic Conservation, 15, 427–446.
  • Döll P., Müller Schmied H., 2012, How is the impact of climate change on river flow regimes related to the impact on mean annual runoff? A global-scale analysis, Environ. Res. Lett., 7, 1, 014037, pp. 11.
  • Gao Y., Vogel R., Kroll C. N., Le Roy Poff N., Olden J. D., 2009, Development of representative indicators of hydrologic alteration, Journal of Hydrology, 374, 136–147.
  • Hollweg H-D., Böhm U., Fast I., Hennemuth B., Keuler K., Keup-Thiel E., Lautenschlager M., Legutke S., Radtke K., Rockel B., Schubert M., Will A., Michael Woldt M., Wunram C., 2008, Ensemble Simulations over Europe with the Regional Climate Model CLM forced with IPCC AR4 Global Scenarios, Tech. Rep., No. 3.
  • MARS, 2007, Monitoring of Agriculture with Remote Sensing, http://mars.jrc.it/
  • Monk W.A., Wood P.J., Hannah D.M., Wilson D.A., 2007, Selection of river flow indices for the assessment of hydroecological change, River Research and Applications, 23, 113–122.
  • Projekt Narodowej Strategii Gospodarowania Wodami 2030 (Project of the National Strategy for Managing Water Resources 2030), 2008, Kindler J. (ed.), PROEKO CDM Sp. z o.o., Warszawa.
  • Richter B.D., Baumgartner J.V., Powell J., Braun D.P., 1996, A method for assessing hydrologic alteration within ecosystems, Conservation Biology, 10, 1163–1174.
  • Seibert J., 1997, Estimation of parameter uncertainty in the HBV model, Nordic Hydrology, 28, 4/5, 247–262.
  • Seibert J., 2005, HBV light version 2, User’s manual, Environmental Assessment, SLU, Uppsala, Sweden.
  • Seibert J., Vis M.J.P., 2012, Teaching hydrological modeling with a user-friendly catchment-runoff-model software package, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 9, 5905–5930.
  • Soczyńska U., Gutry-Korycka M., 2000, Prognozowanie ustroju hydrologicznego w różnych skalach geograficznych (Forecasting of hydrological regime in different geographical scales), Przegląd Geofizyczny, 45, 4/5, 239–250.
  • Somorowska U., Piętka I., 2012, Projekcja zmian ustroju hydrologicznego w skali zlewni w warunkach fluktuacji klimatycznych (Projection of changes of hydrological regime under the conditions of climate fluctuations), [in:] Marszelewski W. (ed.), Gospodarowanie wodą w warunkach zmieniającego się klimatu (Water management under changing climate), Monografie Komisji Hydrologicznej PTG, Toruń.
  • Sperna Weiland F.C., van Beek L.P.H., Kwadijk J.C.J., Bierkens M.F.P., 2012, Global patterns of change in discharge regimes for 2100, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 1047–1062.
  • Szwed M., Karg G., Pińskwar I., Radziejewski M., Graczyk D., Kędziora A., Kundzewicz Z.W., 2010, Climate change and its effect on agriculture, water resources and human health sectors in Poland, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 10, 1725–1737.

Typ dokumentu

Bibliografia

Identyfikatory

Identyfikator YADDA

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