PL EN


Preferencje help
Widoczny [Schowaj] Abstrakt
Liczba wyników
2009 | 16 | 3 |

Tytuł artykułu

Occurrence probability of maximum sea levels in Polish ports of Baltic Sea coast

Warianty tytułu

Języki publikacji

EN

Abstrakty

EN
In this work long-term probability of occurrence of maximum sea levels in some points of Polish Baltic Sea coast, was determined. Use was made of multi-year series of measurement data on maximum yearly sea levels, and their probability distributions were determined. To the analysis Gumbel’s distribution and Pearson distribution of 3rd type as well as quantile methods and the highest credibility method, were applied. Kolmogorov test was used to examine conformity of the theoretical distributions with real random variable distribution. As results from the analysis, the highest sea levels of 1000- year return period can be expected in Polish ports of the west part of the coast , i.e. Kolobrzeg (750, 2 cm , i.e. 2,5 m above the average sea level) and Swinoujscie (723,6 cm) . Lower sea levels of the same return period can be expected in Ustka (720,2 cm), Wladyslawowo (709,7 cm) and Gdansk (716, 7 cm), respectively

Słowa kluczowe

Wydawca

-

Rocznik

Tom

16

Numer

3

Opis fizyczny

p.62-69,fig.,ref.

Twórcy

  • University of Szczecin, Waska 13, 71-415 Szczecin, Poland
autor
  • University of Szczecin, Waska 13, 71-415 Szczecin, Poland

Bibliografia

  • 1. Byczkowski A.: Hydrology (in Polish), Vol. I and II, Publishing House of Warsaw Agriculture University (Wydawnictwo SGGW), Warszawa 1996
  • 2. Gumbel, E.J.: Statistics of Extremes. Columbia University Press 1958
  • 3. Jednoral T., Sztobryn M., Milkowska M.: Application of position statistics for prediction of extreme levels of Baltic Sea in Polish coastal zone (in Polish), Inżynieria Morska i Geotechnika, no.5/ 2008
  • 4. Kaczmarek Z.: Effectiveness of estimation of maximum flow rates of a given return period (in Polish), Archiwum Hydrotechniki, vol. 4, no. 3/1957
  • 5. Kaczmarek Z., Trykozko E.: Application of the method of quantiles to estimation of the Pearson distribution. Acta Geophysica Polonica, vol. 12, no. 1/1964
  • 6. Kaczmarek Z.: Meteorolgical and statistical methods in hydrology and meteorology (in Polish). Transport and Telecommunication Publishers (Wyd. Komunikacji i Lącznosci), Warszawa 1970
  • 7. Massel S. (ed.): Handbook on hydro-engineering. Marine environmental loads on hydro-engineering buildings (in Polish). Maritime Publishing House (Wyd. Morskie), Gdansk 1992
  • 8. Ozga-Zielinska M., Brzezinski J.: Applied hydrology (in Polish). Scientific Publishing House (Wyd. PWN), Warszawa 1997
  • 9. Weglarczyk S.: Statistical methods (in Polish). Printed series of course lectures for students of Krakow University of Technology, Krakow 1993
  • 10. Wroblewski A.: Occurrence of minimum yearly water states in South Baltic Sea (Based on observation results in Nowy Port of Gdansk in 1886÷1939 and 1946÷1966) (in Polish), Przegląd Geofizyczny, vol. XV, no. 1/1970
  • 11. Wroblewski A.: Occurrence probability of maximum yearly levels of Baltic Sea in Gdansk Nowy Port, Kolobrzeg and Swinoujscie (in Polish). Oceanology, no. 6/1975
  • 12. Wroblewski A.: Occurrence probability of minimum yearly levels of Baltic Sea in Gdansk Nowy Port, Kolobrzeg and Swinoujscie (in Polish). Archiwum Hydrotechniki, vol. 29, no. 4/1982
  • 13. Wroblewski A.: Analysis and forecast of long-term sea level changes along the Polish Baltic Sea coast, Part I. Annual sea level maxima, Oceanologia, 33, 1992
  • 14. Wroblewski A.: Long-term prediction of sea level rise (in Polish). Inżynieria Morska i Geotechnika, no.3/2001

Typ dokumentu

Bibliografia

Identyfikatory

Identyfikator YADDA

bwmeta1.element.agro-ddc20df7-1f8d-4808-b169-1bc2470dcc8e
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.