Impact of climate change on crop water and irrigation requirement (case study: eastern Dez Plain, Iran)

• Autorzy: Jahani B. , Mohammadi A.S. , Albaji M.

Warianty tytułu

PL

Wpływ zmian klimatu na zapotrzebowanie roślin na wodę i nawadnianie (studium wschodniej równiny Dez, Iran)

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

This study has been conducted to assess the possible impacts of climate change on crop water an dirrigation requirement of the eastern Dez Plain in south-west of Iran, according to the current crop pattern, and for the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s periods. The climate change data was generated for A2 scenario through the global circulation model HADCM3, using the stochastic weather generatorLars-WG model. The results showed that crop water requirement was predicted to increase from themean value of 653.5 [mm year–1] in the baseline period to 663.15, 682.3 and 715.0 [mm year–1] in the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s, respectively. Irrigation requirement was estimated to decrease by 2% in the 2020s and increase by 2.7% and 15% in the 2050s and 2080s periods, respectively

PL

Badania przeprowadzono w celu oceny ewentualnego wpływu zmian klimatu na zapotrzebowanie roślin na wodę i potrzeb nawadniania we wschodniej równinie Dez w południowo-zachodniej części Iranu, zgodnie z aktualnym układem roślin i dla okresów: 2020, 2050 i 2080. Dane dotyczące zmian klimatu wygenerowano dla scenariusza A2 przez globalny model cyrkulacji HADCM3, za pomocą modelu stochastycznego generatora pogody Lars-WG. Wykazano, że zapotrzebowanie roślin na wodę wzrośnie ze średniej wartości 653,5 [mm · rok–1] w okresie początkowym do 663,15, 682,3 i 715,0 mm [mm · rok–1] w okresach odpowiednio 2020, 2050 i 2080. Potrzeby nawadniania zmniejszą się o 2% w 2020 i zwiększą się o 2,7% i 15% odpowiedniow okresach 2050 i 2080

• Wydawca: -
• Czasopismo: Polish Journal of Natural Sciences
• Rocznik: 2016
• Tom: 31
• Numer: 2
• Opis fizyczny: p.151-167,fig.,ref.

Twórcy

autor

Jahani B.

• Department of Irrigation and Drainage, Faculty of Water Sciences Engineering, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Ahvaz, Iran

autor

Mohammadi A.S.

• Department of Irrigation and Drainage, Faculty of Water Sciences Engineering, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Ahvaz, Iran

autor

Albaji M.

• Department of Irrigation and Drainage, Faculty of Water Sciences Engineering, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Ahvaz, Iran

Bibliografia

• ALLEN R.G., PEREIRA L.S., RAES D., SMITH M. 1998.Determination of ETo[In:]Crop evapotranspiration. – Guidelines for computing crop water requirements. – FAO Irrigation and drainage paper 56.FAO, – Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome. Chapter 4 – Determina-tion of ET.
• AZARI A. 2014.Multi objective simulation for integrated water resources management in term of surfaceand groundwater interaction by genetic algorithm method(case study: Dez Plain). PhD thesis,Department of Hydrology and Water Resources, Water Sciences Engineering Faculty, ShahidChamran University of Ahvaz, pp. 52 (in Persian).
• CHEN D., CHEN H.W. 2013.Using the Köppen classification to quantify climate variation and change.: An example for 1901–2010. J. Environ. Develop., 6: 69–79.
• CHOWDHURY S., AL–ZAHRANI M. 2013.Implications of climate change on water resources in Saudi Arabia. Arabian J. Sci. Eng., 38(8): 1959–1971.
• DOLL P. 2002.Impact of climate change and variability on irrigation requirements: a global perspective. J. Climatic Change, 54: 269–293.
• ETEMADI H., SAMADI S. Z., SHARIFIKIA M. 2012.Statistical downscaling of climatic variables in Shadegan Wetland, Iran. J. Open Access Sci. Rep., 1(11): 1–9.
• FISCHER G., TUBIELLO F.N., VANYELTHUIZEN H., WIBERG D. A. 2006.Climate change impacts on irrigation water requirements. Effects of mitigation, 1990–2080. J. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change,74: 1083–1107.
• GILABERTE-BURDALO M., LOPEZ-MARTIN F., PINI-OTIN M.R., 2014.Impacts of climate change on skiindustry. J. Environ. Sci. Policy, 44: 51–61.
• GOHARI A., ESLAMIAN S., ABEDI–KOUPAEI J., MASSAHBAVANI A., WANG D., MADANI K. 2013.Climatechange impacts on crop production in Iran's Zayandeh–Rud River Basin. J. Sci. Total Environ.,442: 405–419.
• HOSSEINI ZADEH A. 2014.Potential impacts of climate change on groundwater resources, consideringuncertainty sources. (Master thesis)., Department of Hydrology and Water Resources, Water Sciences Engineering Faculty, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, pp. 41 (in Persian).
• IPCC, 2013.Climate change 2013. The physical science basis. Contribution of working group to thefifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. 2013. IntergovernmentalPanel on Climate Change. Eds. STOCKERet al. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1535: 68.
• LHOMME J.P., MOUGOU R., MANSOUR M. 2009.Potential impact of climate change on durum wheat cropping in Tunisia. J. Climatic Change, 96: 549–564.
• PARRY M., ROSENZWEIG C., IGLESIAS A., FISCHER G., LIVERMORE M. 1999.Climate change and world food security: a new assessment. J. Global Environ. Change, 9: 51–67.
• PIAO S., CIAIS P., HUANG Y., SHEN Z., PENG S., LI J. 2010.The impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China. J. Nature, 467: 43–51.
• SCHULZE R. 2000.Modelling hydrological responses to land use and climate change: a southern Africanperspective. AMBIO: A.J. Human Environ., 29(1): 12–22.
• SEMENOV M.A., BROOKS R.J., RICHARDSON C. W. 1998.Comparison of the WGEN and LARS–WG stochastic weather generators for diverse climates. J. Climate Res. 10: 95–107.
• SMITH M., KIVUMBI D., HENG L.K. 2002.Use of the FAO CROPWAT model in deficit irrigation studies.Deficit irrigation practices; Water Reports (FAO)., no. 22 / FAO, Rome (Italy). Land and WaterDevelopment Div., 22: 17–27.
• TANASIJEVICA R., TODOROVICA M., PEREIRAB L.S., PIZZIGALLIC C., LIONELLO P. 2014.Impacts of climatechange on olive crop evapotranspiration and irrigation requirements in the Mediterranean region.J. Agricult. Water Manage., 144: 54–68.
• VOLOUDAKISA D., KARAMANOSA A., ECONOMOUA G., KALIVASB D. VAHAMIDISA P., KOTOULASA V., KAPSOMENAKISC J., ZEREFOSC C. 2015. Prediction of climate change impacts on cotton yields in Greeceunder eight climatic models using the Aqua–Crop crop simulation model and discriminant function analysis. J. Agricult. Water Manage., 147: 116–128.
• WANG J., MENDELSOHN R., DINAR A., HUANG J., ROZELLE S., ZHANG L. 2009.The impact of climate change on China's agriculture. J. Agricult. Econom., 40: 323–337.
• WEI T., CHERRY T.L., CLOMROD S., ZHANG T. 2014.Climate change impacts on crop yield. Evidence from China. Science Total Environ., 499: 133–140.
• WHEELER T., VONBRAUN J. 2013.Climate change impacts on global food security. J. Sci., 341: 508–513.