EN
From 70 empirical and simulation models result that from economic point of view of these searching farms it would be the best not to introduce any of the analyzed in the European Commission scenario of the changes in milk production organization in 2008 - 2008, because each of them could make the situation of income worse in these farms. In the situation when the milk sale after average prices of the purchase which where in the EU in 2001 the searching farms would have at that time higher agricultural income average about 39,9% than real achieved. In situation when the I scenario would be introduced and remain in force in 2008 - 20015 status quo Agenda 2000 the agricultural income in final result would increase average about 31,6% compare to income which was achieved in 2001 in Polish market price condition. When the II scenario will be introduced, which the main matter is to further increasing the amount and to reduce the prices after 2008, the agricultural income in 2015 would be higher about 19,5%. It is also important the III scenario, referring to A amount, which could cause in searching farms, after the condition when they could produce in scheme this amount, the increasing of agricultural income about 21,3%. The worst could be III scenario for export C amount, which could reduce in 2015 agricultural income to average 71,3%. The IV scenario could be also unprofitable, consisting in eliminating milk amount, the agricultural income would increase in 2015 average to 89,5% income which were achieved in Polish market condition in 2001.