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2015 | 24 | 1 |

Tytuł artykułu

Pluviothermal conditions in Poland in light of contemporary climate change and their consequences for agriculture and water management

Warianty tytułu

Języki publikacji

EN

Abstrakty

EN
Spatial diversity and total area of thermal-humid regions have been assessed and, in addition, climatic water balance values have been calculated, employing specific time-frames up until the year 2020. The latter calculations have been performed taking into account temperature averages for the period 1971-2000, and constant precipitation. In order to designate thermal-humid regions the Daunbenmiere method has been used (version modified by Cherszkowicz) in which thermal conditions are determined on the basis of effective temperature sums ≥10.0ºC, while pluvial conditions are determined based on the hydrothermal coefficient (K=10P/t) for the period from June until August where P signifies sums of precipitation and t daily sums of air temperature values. The climatic water balance was calculated as the difference between precipitation sums and sums of potential evaporation calculated using the Thornthwaite method. A systematic increase of the area of temperate warm and warm regions has been identified (from 62% in the period 1971-2000 to 88% for values estimated for 2000, 98% for values estimated for 2010, and 100% for 2015 and 2020). Meanwhile, a systematic increase in the area of temperate dry regions has been observed (20% of Poland in 1971-2000, 45% for values estimated for 2010, and 48% for values estimated for 2015 and 2020). The values of climatic water balance have decreased in the Nizina Wielkopolska from -160 mm (1971-2000) to -220 mm (for values estimated for 2015).

Słowa kluczowe

Wydawca

-

Rocznik

Tom

24

Numer

1

Opis fizyczny

p.419-425,fig.,ref.

Twórcy

  • Department of Ecology, Climatology and Air Protection, University of Agriculture, Av.Mickiewicza 24/28, 30-059 Krakow, Poland
autor
  • Department of Ecology, Climatology and Air Protection, University of Agriculture, Av.Mickiewicza 24/28, 30-059 Krakow, Poland

Bibliografia

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  • 3. MILLY P.C.D., BETANCOURT J., FALKENMARK M., HIRSCH R.M., KUNDZEWICZ Z.W., LETTENMAIER D.P., STOUFFER R.J. Stationarity is Dead: Whither Water Management. Science 319, (5863), 573, 2008.
  • 4. LIVEZEY R.E., VINNIKOV K.Y., TIMOFEYEVA M.M., TINKER R., VAN DEN DOOL H.M. Estimation and Extrapolation of Climate Normals and Climatic Trends. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol. 46, 1759, 2007.
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Typ dokumentu

Bibliografia

Identyfikatory

Identyfikator YADDA

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