Application of discriminant analysis to the evaluation and forecasting of economic situation in Poland

• Autorzy: Kisielinska J. , Skornik-Pokarowska U.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

This paper describes the indicators of the present and future economical situation. The discriminant analysis has been used. The real income increase, gross fixed capital formation and low USD/PLN exchange rate are the good prosperity indicators. The next year prosperity is indicated by high increase of the gross fixed capital formation, high current account and budget deficit values (as GDP %) and decreases of the private and public consumption expenditure, export and low unemployment rate at the end of the year.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

present economic situation; application; Poland; macroeconomic indicator; economic situation; future economic situation; discriminant analysis

• Wydawca: -
• Czasopismo: Electronic Journal of Polish Agricultural Universities. Series Economics
• Rocznik: 2004
• Tom: 07
• Numer: 2
• Opis fizyczny: http://www.ejpau.media.pl/series/volume7/issue2/economics/art-02.html

Twórcy

autor

Kisielinska J.

• Warsaw Agricultural University, Nowoursynowska 166, 02-787 Warsaw, Poland

autor

Skornik-Pokarowska U.

Bibliografia

• Annual Statistics POS 1991 – 2002. Central Statistical Office, Warsaw
• Barczyk R., Kowalczyk Z., 1993. Methods of economic situation research. PWN, Warsaw – Poznan
• Chojna J., Jagiełło M., Marczewski K., 2001. Economic situation in Poland (in) Marczewski K. (ed.): Economic situation of the world and Poland in 1999 – 2001. Foreign Trade Research Institute (IKCHZ), Warsaw
• Data of Central Statistical Office (in) www.stat.gov.pl
• Data of National Bank of Poland (NBP) (in) www.nbp.pl
• Grabiński T., 1992. Methods of taxonometrics. Ed. Economic University, Cracow
• Jajuga K., 1990. Statistic theory of images identification. PWN, Warsaw
• Jajuga K., 1993. Multidimensional statistic analysis. PWN, Warsaw
• Lipiński J., Orłowski W., 2001. Economic growth in Poland – medium-term perspective. Ed. House Bellona, Warsaw
• Matkowski Z., 1999 (ed.). Barometers of economic situation for Polish economy. Warsaw School of Economics, Warsaw