EN
The growth of Listeria monocytogenes in pasteurized and UHT milk was evaluated under different temperatures (6, 9, 12, 15°C) during 5 days for pasteurized milk (shelf life of product) and 14 days for UHT milk. Both traditional plate count and impedimetric methods were used to enumerate colonies. DMFit 2.0 curve fitting program (Jozsef Baranyi, Institute of Food Research, Norwich, UK) was used to fit data by applying the Baranyi and Roberts model [4]. Observed growth rates were compared to predictions generated by Pathogen Modeling Program 7.0 (PMP) and Growth Predictor (GP). Graphic and mathematical validation of GP and PMP was performed, obtaining more or less acceptable values of mean square error (MSE), bias and accuracy factors. The study concluded that in order to improve the viability of predictive models to dairy products, studies with naturally contaminated products should be included in the development and validation of models with foodborne pathogens.