Changes in spring and summer phenology in Poland – responses of selected plant species to air temperature variations

• Autorzy: Jablonska K. , Kwiatkowska-Falinska A. , Czernecki B. , Walawender J.P.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Many studies on the changes in the rhythm of nature (animate and inanimate) revealed that plants are good indicators of climate change, because they are responsive to air temperature variations. There is a clear trend towards earlier onset of plant development in Poland, especially for spring phenological events as flowering and leafing. The main objective of this study was to identify phenological tendencies of selected plant indicator species in Poland and to explore the statistical relationship between mean phenological onset date against mean monthly air temperature. Phenological observations of 9 plant species: Corylus avellana L., Tussilago farfara L., Padus avium L., Taraxacum officinale F.H. Wiggers coll., Betula pendula Roth, Syringa vulgaris L., Aesculus hippocastanum L., Robinia pseudoacacia L., Tilia cordata Mill. from 25 locations acquired in the period 1951–1990 were used. The results proved that phenological changes were the reaction of plants to air temperature variations. For spring and summer phenophases, the mean correlation coefficient was negative — higher air temperature was related to earlier onset dates. The advance of spring and summer phenology was estimated at -2.2 days per 1°C. Majority of phenological events were the most significantly correlated with mean monthly air temperature of the preceding months. Phenological trends observed in Poland were mainly negative (73% of analysed stations), significant (22%) but diversified between the selected species. Linear regression analysis of the onset dates against year (including regression coefficient) showed the highest values for Corylus avellana flowering: -0.24 days per year (20% significant) and Betula pendula leaf unfolding: -0.18 days per year (33% significant). Robinia pseudoacacia showed significant advances (72% of negative trends were significant) in a summer season with an average rate of -0.3 days per year. Whereas in case of Tilia cordata no tendencies to advance has been proved.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

plant phenology; Poland; climate change; temperature variation; flowering; seasonal change; indicator species; standard deviation; linear regression

• Wydawca: -
• Czasopismo: Polish Journal of Ecology
• Rocznik: 2015
• Tom: 63
• Numer: 3
• Opis fizyczny: p.311-319,fig.,ref.

Twórcy

autor

Jablonska K.

• Center for Poland’s Climate Monitoring, Institute of Meteorology and Water Management – National Research Institute, Podlesna 61, 01-673 Warsaw, Poland

autor

Kwiatkowska-Falinska A.

• Institute of Botany, University of Warsaw, Miecznikowa 1, 02-096 Warsaw, Poland

autor

Czernecki B.

• Department of Climatology, Adam Mickiewicz University, Dziegielowa 27, 61-680 Poznan, Poland

autor

Walawender J.P.

• Satellite Remote Sensing Department, Institute of Meteorology and Water Management – National Research Institute, Borowego 14, 30-215 Krakow, Poland
• Department of Climatology, Jagiellonian University, Gronostajowa 7, 30-387 Krakow, Poland

Bibliografia

• R. Ahas, A. Aasa, A. Menzel, V.G. Fedotova, H. Scheifinger 2002 — Changes in European spring phenology — Int. J. Climatol. 22: 1727–1738.
• P. Bissolli, G. Müller-Westermeier, E. Dittmann, V. Remisová, O. Braslavská, P. Stastný 2005 — 50-year time series of phenological phases in Germany and Slovakia: a statistical comparison — Meteor. Z. 14: 173–182.
• M. Duchoslav 2009 — Effects of contrasting habitats on the phenology, seasonal growth, and dry-mass allocation pattern of two bulbous geophytes (Alliaceae) with partly different geographic ranges — Pol. J. Ecol. 57: 15–32.
• N. Estrella A. Menzel 2006 — Responses of leaf colouring of four deciduous tree species to climate and weather in Germany — Clim. Res. 321: 253–267.
• K. Falińska 1990 — Osobnik, populacja, fitocenoza [Individual, population, phytocoenosis] — PWN (in Polish).
• I. Ibáñez, R.B. Primack, A.J. Miller-Rushing, E. Ellwood, H. Higuchi, S.D. Lee, H. Kobori, J.A. Silander 2010 — Forecasting phenology under global warming — Philos. Trans. R. Soc. London B, Biol. Sci. 365: 3247–3260.
• K. Jabłońska, Ł. Piech 2012 — Wpływ cyrkulacji atmosferycznej na termin początku fenologicznego przedwiośnia w Polsce [The influence of atmospheric circulation on the start of phenological dawn of spring in Poland] (In: Rola cyrkulacji atmosfery w kształtowaniu klimatu [The role of atmospheric circulation for climate] Ed. T. Niedźwiedź) — Wydział Nauk o Ziemi Uniwersytetu Sląskiego, pp. 139–146 (in Polish).
• M. Karliński, A. Kędziora 1967 — Statystyczna interpretacja zależności terminu niektórych pojawów fenologicznych od temperatury powietrza [Statistical interpretation of the dependence of the occurence time of certain phenologic events on air temperature] — Przegląd Geofizyczny, 20: 121–130 (in Polish, English summary).
• E. Koch, A. Donelly, W. Lipa, A. Menzel, J. Nekovar 2009 — Final Scientific Report of COST 725 — COST Office.
• U. Meier 1997 — BBCH-Monograph. Growth stages of plants — Entwicklungsstadien von Pflanzen — Estadios de las plantas — Developpement des Plantes. Blackwell Wissenschaftsverlag, Berlin und Wien, 165 pp. (2. Auflage available in German).
• A. Menzel, P. Fabian 1999 — Growing season extended in Europe — Nature, 397: 659.
• A. Menzel 2003 — Plant phenological anomalies in Germany and their relation to air temperature and NAO — Glim. Change, 57: 243–263.
• A. Menzel, T.H. Sparks, N. Estrella, E. Koch, A. Aasa, R. Aha, K. Alm-Kuebler, P. Bissoli, A. Braslavska, A. Briede, F.M. Chmielewski, Z. Crepinsek, Y. Cunel, A. Dahl, C. Defila, A. Donnelly, Y. Filella, K. Jatczak, F. Mage, A. Mestre, O. Nordli, J. Penuelas, P. Pirinen, V. Remisova, H. Scheifinger, M. Striz, A. Susnik, A.J.H. van Vliet, F.-E. Wielgolaski, S. Zach, A. Zust 2006 — European phenological response to climate change matches the warming pattern — Glob. Change Biol. 12: 1969–1976.
• M. Molga, J. Sokołowska 1963 – Fenologiczne pory roku w Polsce [The phenological seasons in Poland] — Wiadomości IMGW, No 55 (in Polish).
• C. Parmesan, G. Yohe 2003 — A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems — Nature, 421: 37–42.
• K. Piotrowicz 2010 — Sezonowa zmienność typów pogody w Krakowie [The seasonal changeability of weather types in Cracow) — rozprawa habilitacyjna (habilitation dissertation) IGiGP UJ, Kraków, 311 pp. (in Polish)
• R Core Team. 2014 — R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. URL http://www.R-project.org/.
• W. Roltsch, F.G. Zalom, A.J. Strawn, J.F. Strand, M.J. Pitcairn, 1999 — Evaluation of several degree-day estimation methods in California climates — Int. J. of Biometeorology, 42: 169–176.
• B. Scheiber 2007 — Changes of flowering phenology of six herbal species in a beech forest (central Slovakia): a decade analysis — Pol. J. Ecol. 55: 233–244.
• H. Scheifinger, E. Koch, C. Matulla, P. Cate 2007 — New frontiers in plant phenological research — Geophysical Research Abstracts, 9: 497–503.
• P. Siljamo, M. Sofiev, H. Ranta, T. Linkosalo, E. Kubin, R. Ahas, E. Genikhovich, K. Jatczak, V. Jato, J. Nekovar, A. Minin, E. Severova, V. Shalaboda 2008 — Representativeness of point-wise phenological Betula data collected in different parts of Europe — Global Ecology and Biogeography 17: 489–502.
• T.H. Sparks, P.D. Carey 1995 — The responses of species to climate over two centuries: an analysis of the Marsham phenological record, 1736–1947 — J. Ecol. 83, 321–329.
• R.L. Snyder, D. Spano, P. Duce, C. Cesaraccio 1999 — Determining degree-day thresholds from field observations — Int. J. of Biometeorology, 42: 177–182.
• W. Szafer 1959 — Szata roślinna Polski [Vegetation of Poland] — PWN, 586 pp. (in Polish).
• H. Wang, G. Quansheng, T. Rutishauser, Y. Dai, J. Dai 2015 — Parameterization of temperature sensitivity of spring phenology and its application in explaining diverse phenological responses to temperature change — Scientific Reports, 5: 1–6.
• A. Zając, M. Zając 2001 — Atlas rozmieszczenia roślin naczyniowych w Polsce [Distribution Atlas of Vascular Plants in Poland] — Instytut Botaniki UJ, 715 pp. (in Polish).
• K. Zarzycki 1984 — Ekologiczne liczby wskaźnikowe roślin naczyniowych Polski niżowej [Ecological values of indicator Vascular plant species over lower elevated areas of Poland] — Polska Akademia Nauk — Instytut Botaniki, 183 pp. (in Polish).

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.3161/15052249PJE2015.63.3.002