What determines the change of lakes in large cities under climate change and anthropogenic activities? Evidence from Eastern China

• Autorzy: Wang H. , Mao L. , Lu S. , Ying J. , Jiang Q. , Yuan R. , Liu X. , Wang M. , Zhao D.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Lakes are one of the most important wetland types on the earth with many ecosystem functions. With continuing economic growth and climate change, lake abundance and surface areas throughout the world have been threatened by many factors, including by human and environmental disruptions. However, we still have limited knowledge on how human activities and climate change affect lake reductions and associated ecosystem services. Elucidating the underlying mechanisms of lake shrinkage will help maintain an ecological balance in urban planning, especially in rapidly developing countries. We explore the determinants of lake shrinkage and abundance reduction from the 1980s to the 2010s using remote sensing data of lakes in two large cities in eastern China: Nanchang and Shanghai. In order to account for the non-independence of time-series data, time series auto-regressive generalized least squares (GLS) models were used to examine the relationship between lake area/abundance and human activities and climate change. Our results show that human activities rather than climate change, are the most important determinants for the areas and numbers of lake shrinkage, and gross domestic product (GDP) and population size could explain more than half of the variation in the number and area of lakes with areas larger than 20 ha in the two cities. GDP and lake area shrinkage do not exhibit a linear relationship. This highlights the importance of wetland protection in the early development stage. Because the main determinants are human activities, cities have the ability to protect wetlands via suitable planning.

• Wydawca: -
• Czasopismo: Polish Journal of Environmental Studies
• Rocznik: 2019
• Tom: 28
• Numer: 3
• Opis fizyczny: p.1949-1956,fig.,ref.

Twórcy

autor

Wang H.

• College of Landscape Architecture, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing, China

autor

Mao L.

• Joint Innovation Center for Sustainable Forestry in Southern China, College of Biology and the Environment, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing, China

autor

Lu S.

• College of Landscape Architecture, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing, China

autor

Ying J.

• School of Landscape Architecture, Zhejiang Agriculture and Forestry University, Lin’an, China

autor

Jiang Q.

• College of Landscape Architecture, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing, China

autor

Yuan R.

• College of Landscape Architecture, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing, China

autor

Liu X.

• College of Landscape Architecture, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing, China

autor

Wang M.

• College of Architecture and Urban Planning, Tongji University, Shanghai, China

autor

Zhao D.

• College of Earth Sciences, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu, China

Bibliografia

• 1. MENG W., ZHANLEI W.U., WANG Z. Control factors and critical conditions between carbon sinking and sourcing of wetland ecosystem (In Chinese with English Abstract). Ecol. Environ. Sci. 20, 1359, 2011.
• 2. CLARKSON B.R., AUSSEIL A.G.E., GERBEAUX P. DYMOND J.R. Wetland ecosystem services. In Ecosystem services in New Zealand: Conditions and Trends (ed. Dymond J.), The Caxton Press, Christchurch, New Zealand. 192, 2013.
• 3. MCLAUGHLIN D., COHEN M.J. Realizing ecosystem services: Wetland hydrologic function along a gradient of ecosystem condition, Ecol. Appl., 23, 1619, 2013.
• 4. LIU D., CAO C. CHEN W., NI X., TIAN R., XING X. Monitoring and predicting the degradation of a semi-arid wetland due to climate change and water abstraction in the Ordos Larus relictus National Nature Reserve, China, Geomat. Nat. Haz. Risk. 8, 367, 2016.
• 5. TAO S., FANG J., ZHAO X., ZHAO S., SHEN H., HU H., TANG Z., WANG Z., GUO Q. Rapid loss of lakes on the Mongolian Plateau, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 112, 2281, 2015.
• 6. HOEKSTRA A.Y., CHAPAGAIN A.K. Water footprints of nations: Water use by people as a function of their consumption pattern, in Integrated Assessment of Water Resources and Global Change, Springer, Netherlands, 35, 2006.
• 7. LIU J., YANG W. Water sustainability for China and beyond, Science, 337, 649, 2012.
• 8. MICHISHITA R., JIANG Z., XU B. Monitoring two decades of urbanization in the Poyang Lake area, China through spectral unmixing, Remote Sens. Environ., 117, 3, 2012.
• 9. OKI T., KANAE S. Global hydrological cycles and world water resources, Science, 313, 1068, 2006.
• 10. MU Q., ZHAO M., RUNNING S. W. Evolution of hydrological and carbon cycles under a changing climate. Part III: global change impacts on landscape scale evapotranspiration, Hydrol. Process, 25, 4093, 2011.
• 11. PATENAUDE T., SMITH A.C., FAHRIG L. Disentangling the effects of wetland cover and urban development on quality of remaining wetlands, Urban Ecosyst., 18, 663, 2015.
• 12. KOOP S.H.A., LEEUWEN C.J.V. The challenges of water, waste and climate change in cities, Environ. Dev. Sustain., 19, 385, 2017.
• 13. MAGANA V., ZERMENO D., NERI C. Climate change scenarios and potential impacts on water availability in Northern Mexico, Clim. Res., 51, 171, 2012.
• 14. YUAN X., MU R., ZUO J., WANG Q. Economic development, energy consumption, and air pollution: A critical assessment in China, Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: An International Journal, 21, 781, 2015.
• 15. PIAO S., CIAIS P., HUANG Y., SHEN Z., PENG S., LI J., ZHOU L., LIU H., MA Y., DING Y., FRIEDLINGSTEIN P., LIU C., TAN K., YU Y., ZHANG T., FANG J. The impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China, Nature, 467, 43, 2010.
• 16. DHAKAL S. Urban energy use and carbon emissions from cities in China and policy implications, Energ. Policy, 37, 4208, 2009.
• 17. SONG X., CHANG K., YANG L., SCHEFFRAN J. Change in environmental benefits of urban land use and its drivers in Chinese cities, 2000-2010, Int. J. Env. Res. Pub. He., 13, 535, 2016.
• 18. YIN J., YIN Z., ZHONG H., XU S., HU X., WANG J., WU J. Monitoring urban expansion and land use/land cover changes of Shanghai metropolitan area during the transitional economy (1979-2009) in China. Environ. Monit. Assess., 177, 609, 2011.
• 19. ZHANG H., WANG Q., LI G., ZHANG H., ZHANG J. Losses of ecosystem service values in the Taihu Lake Basin from 1979 to 2010. Front. Earth Sci., 11, 1, 2017.
• 20. BOX G. E., JENKINS G. M., REINSEL G. C., LJUNG G. M. Time series analysis: forecasting and control, John Wiley & Sons, 2015.
• 21. AKAIKE H. A new look at the statistical model identification, IEEE transactions on automatic control, 19, 716, 1974.
• 22. R CORE TEAM. R: A language and environment for statistical computing – R Foundation for Statistical Computing. Vienna, Austria. (www. R-project.org), 2015.
• 23. CLARKSON B.R., AUSSEIL A.E., GERBEAUX P. Wetland ecosystem services (Chapter in Ecosystem services in New Zealand), Manaaki Whenua Press, 2013.
• 24. LIU C., XIE G., HUANG H. Shrinking and drying up of Baiyangdian lake wetland: a natural or human cause? Chinese Geogr. Sci., 16, 314, 2006.
• 25. FERRATI R., CANZIANI G.A., MORENO D.R. Estero del Ibera: hydrometeological and hydrological characterization, Ecol. Model., 186, 3, 2005.
• 26. REN W., ZHONG Y., MELIGRANA J., ANDERSON B., WATT W. E., CHEN J., LEUNG H. L. Urbanization, land use, and water quality in Shanghai: 1947-1996, Environ. Int., 29, 649, 2003.
• 27. WEI J., WEI J., WESTERN A. Evolution of the societal value of water resources for economic development versus environmental sustainability in Australia from 1843 to 2011, Global Environ. Chang. 42, 82, 2017.
• 28. PASKIN P.D., HANSEN E., MARGOLLIS R.M. Water and sustainability, Nat. Resour. Forum, 20, 1, 1996.
• 29. JIANG R., GAN T.Y., XIE J., WANG N., KUO C.C. Historical and potential changes of precipitation and temperature of Alberta subjected to climate change impact: 1900-2100, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 127, 1, 2017.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.15244/pjoes/90481